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Saturday, November 30, 2019

Moderate to Severe Flooding Update

12:08 pm 12/1/19 update.

The official rainfall totals from the National Weather Service in Louisville, Kentucky.





___________________________________________________________
From the Heavy rains overnight and this morning my personal weather station has calculated 3.33 inches (and counting) of rainfall as of 3:09 pm.

The National Weather Service in Louisville has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for... Southern Harrison County in south central Indiana... Perry County in south central Indiana... Southwestern Spencer County in central Kentucky... Nelson County in central Kentucky... Meade County in central Kentucky... Hancock County in central Kentucky... Larue County in central Kentucky... Grayson County in central Kentucky... Hardin County in central Kentucky... Breckinridge County in central Kentucky... Bullitt County in central Kentucky... Ohio County in central Kentucky...

* Until 700 PM EST/600 PM CST/.

* At 254 PM EST/154 PM CST/, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated heavy rain falling across the warned area. Up to three inches of rain have already fallen. Flash flooding is already occurring.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include... Elizabethtown, Bardstown, Shepherdsville, Tell City, Leitchfield, Hodgenville, Hartford, Brandenburg, Hardinsburg and Pioneer Village.

A line of thunderstorms moving into the region easily could dump an additional inch of rainfall over a 30 minute period.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles.

I took these photos about an hour ago.

As you can see from the creek across the street from me, it has come out of its banks. This is minor and it happens often after heavy rain for prolonged periods of time.


Flood Advisory

The National Weather Service in Louisville has issued a

* Urban and Small Stream Flood Advisory for... Spencer County in central Kentucky... Southeastern Shelby County in central Kentucky... Central Nelson County in central Kentucky... Western Mercer County in central Kentucky... Northwestern Woodford County in central Kentucky... Anderson County in central Kentucky... Northern Marion County in central Kentucky... Washington County in central Kentucky... Western Franklin County in central Kentucky...

* Until 300 PM EST.

* At 1203 PM EST, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain that will cause urban and small stream flooding in the advisory area. Up to two inches of rain have already fallen.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include... Frankfort, Shelbyville, Bardstown, Lawrenceburg, Springfield, Taylorsville, Ballard, Bloomfield, Loretto and Willisburg.

Additional rainfall of around 1 inch is expected over the area through tonight. This additional rain will result in minor flooding.

A Flood Advisory means river or stream flows are elevated, or ponding of water in urban or other areas is occurring or is imminent.


There is a Marginal Risk for Strong to Severe thunderstorms mainly West of I-65.
Rumbles of thunder will still be possible later this afternoon and evening for Central and Eastern Kentucky.
NWS SPC
 weather.gov
The National Weather Service in Louisville has issued a

* Flash Flood Watch for portions of Indiana and Kentucky, including the following areas, in Indiana, Clark, Crawford, Dubois, Floyd, Harrison, Orange, Perry, and Washington. In Kentucky, Adair, Allen, Anderson, Barren, Bourbon, Boyle, Breckinridge, Bullitt, Butler, Casey, Clark, Clinton, Cumberland, Edmonson, Fayette, Franklin, Garrard, Grayson, Green, Hancock, Hardin, Harrison, Hart, Henry, Jefferson, Jessamine, Larue, Lincoln, Logan, Madison, Marion, Meade, Mercer, Metcalfe, Monroe, Nelson, Nicholas, Ohio, Oldham, Russell, Scott, Shelby, Simpson, Spencer, Taylor, Warren, Washington, and Woodford.

* Through late tonight





Thursday, November 28, 2019

Thanksgiving 2019


Happy Thanksgiving! Highs today will be  around 40-44°, Lows tonight will be in the mid 30's.

Tuesday, November 26, 2019

Rainfall, strong winds tonight and tomorrow.

The National Weather Service in Louisville, has issued a Wind Advisory

Light brown, Wind Advisory.
Dark brown, High Wind Watch.
Weather.gov

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected.

* WHERE...Portions of south central Indiana and central Kentucky.

* WHEN...From 4 AM EST /3 AM CST/ to 5 PM EST /4 PM CST/ Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Gusts above 50 mph are possible, especially should clear skies prevail Wednesday morning.

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle...and be prepared for extra holiday travel traffic. Secure outdoor objects.


There is a slight chance for thunderstorms tonight. The best chance for severe weather will be west of I-65 and in the Orange Enhanced Risk area.

Monday, November 11, 2019

First snow of the season ❄

❄❄
11/12/19 9:46 am est.

Good morning everyone did you enjoy waking up to some snow!? 
Snow accumulations ranged from 0.75-2 inches across Central and Eastern Kentucky with the highest amounts falling in Western Kentucky with some places seeing 3 inches there.

From the National Weather Service in Louisville, Kentucky. 


My snow photography 

Snowfall accumulation.


This is a short video of the snow falling last night.


Final snowfall accumulation.





Women's Blue Camo Scarf and Gloves Set Sky Blue Forest








❄❄❄❄❄❄❄❄❄❄❄❄❄❄❄❄❄❄❄❄❄❄❄❄❄❄❄❄❄❄❄
 This is the final update.

6:58 pm update


NWS WPC giving North Central Kentucky a 70% chance for greater than 1 inch of snowfall tonight.




Phase 1 has begun, we are currently seeing a cold rain as of 4:30 pm est.


Rain will transition to snow tonight from west to east. Below freezing temperatures with wind chills in the teens on Tuesday morning. Minor accumulations of around an inch to two inches in some areas mainly on grassy and elevated areas. With the freezing temperatures on roadways there could be a few slick spots out there.

Winter Weather Advisory

"Slick Spots Expected Tonight and Tomorrow Morning...

.A strong cold front will push through the region this afternoon ushering in much colder temperatures by this evening. Ongoing rain will change over to snow this evening from north to south with southern Indiana seeing the changeover by sunset and then much of northern Kentucky seeing the changeover this evening.

While temperatures will sharply fall this evening, the warm ground temperatures will lag behind by several hours. The snow this evening may fall heavy enough at times to cover road surfaces temporarily. However, much of the accumulation will mainly be found on elevated and grassy surfaces. As the precipitation ends after midnight, residual moisture on the roadways may refreeze. Overpasses and bridges will be the first to see impacts since they have much more exposure to the cold air. The refreezing on the roadways may be offset due to strong northwesterly winds that will be seen behind the front. Northwest winds of 10-15 MPH with gusts to 25-30 MPH will be possible and will help dry off the roads. However, in areas that are sheltered from the wind, icy spots may be found late tonight and Tuesday morning.

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of around an inch.

* WHERE...Portions of south central Indiana and north central Kentucky.

* WHEN...From 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ this evening to 8 AM EST /7 AM CST/ Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday morning commute.

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and your local media for the latest updates."


This is a forecast model from  TropicalTidbits.com

The transition should begin at around 8/9 pm est.




Wednesday, October 30, 2019

Happy Halloween, Freeze Warning for Tonight.



🎃 Happy Halloween! 🎃

History.com

Rain showers until midday 100%, then a slight chance for flurries after 10 pm 40% mainly N of I-64. High near 58, Lows falling to near 26. Winds will be 10-18 miles per hour. Gusting to 30-40 as a cold front approaches.

Freeze Watch 
No longer in effect 

Freeze Warning
Has been issued

NWS Paducah

NWS Louisville

The National Weather Service in Louisville has issued a Freeze Warning.

FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM EDT /10 PM CDT/
THIS EVENING TO 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ FRIDAY...
...DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

* WHAT...Lows in the mid to upper 20s.

* WHERE...Portions of south central Indiana and all of central
  Kentucky.

* WHEN...From late tonight through Friday morning.

* Impacts...Freeze conditions will kill sensitive vegetation and
  possibly damage unprotected outdoor plumbing.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds will stay up enough before daybreak
  Friday to allow wind chills to bottom out around 20 degrees
  for most of the region.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

A Freeze Warning means sub-freezing temperatures are imminent or
highly likely. These conditions will kill crops and other
sensitive vegetation.

This is a special weather statement for Wind.
A cold front will bring falling temperatures during the day,
accompanied by gusty west winds. Temperatures will drop into the
upper 30s or lower 40s by late afternoon. Winds at 15 to 20 mph
will gust 30 mph up to 40 mph at times. Wind chill values will be
in the 20s during the late afternoon through this evening.



Thursday, October 24, 2019

Heavy Rainfall This Weekend, Tropical Storm Olga

Tropical Disturbance in the Gulf to bring heavy rain this weekend. Rainfall totals of one to three inches is possible with locally higher amounts. This is now a tropical storm.
TropicalTidbits.com


Here is the NOAA/NWS/NCEP/WPC
Precipitation forecast amounts.
At this time, no severe thunderstorms are expected.

Midland WR120 NOAA Weather Alert Radio - White

This NOAA weather radio is highly recommended to get the most recent warnings issued by your local National Weather Service. 

Friday, October 18, 2019

Tropical Storm Nestor

Tropical Storm Nestor forms in the Gulf of Mexico as it approaches Florida. Heavy rain and storm surge 3 to 5 feet are possible along with severe thunderstorms, including tornadoes.

TropicalTidbits.com

The following is from the NHC.

Tropical Storm Warnings in effect along the Florida Panhandle in blue.

Above are the wind speed probabilities for Tropical Storm force winds.

Storm Surge Warning 
3-5 feet storm surge is possible.